THE ACCIDENTAL PRESIDENT - SETTING FIRES, LAUNCHING LANDSLIDES,

REALLY?

WOW...... Another night of fireworks.... As the Stock Market belches, burbs, and barfs... recovers, and relapses... the Democratic Party Primary beat goes on.... and is marching toward a massive effort to save the nation from a Psycho at the switch. Yesterday's multi-state Democratic Primary once again repeated the pattern that had been established in South Carolina and Super Tuesday - a much larger turnout in the primaries.... and a large Sanders loss of votes compared to his vote totals in the same states in 2016. Quite similar to the 2016 race featuring just two candidates - Bernie and Hillary - the 2020 set yesterday also featured just two - Bernie and Joe. The outcome was far different than 2016..... Last week Joe carried 5 of 6 and Bernie 1. And, last night, Biden carried all three - Arizona, Florida, and Illinois. Each cycle has demonstrated - over and over - a 2020 pattern compared to 2016, the last Bernie appearance on the presidential ballot.

Voters marching to the polls in each cycle have increased substantially... an outcome that had been especially encouraged by Bernie... but, Bernie lost votes along the path. Last week in Super Tuesday Round 2 - the painful Bernie loss came in Michigan. In 2016 he carried Michigan by a few points in a surprise win over Hillary. This year, expecting Bernie to again carry Michigan, and with the turnout substantially higher than 4 years ago, Joe carried the state by double digits - some 14 points over Bernie. This one primary election could very well have deflated the Bernie Bros and began the slide out of the contest for the Democratic nomination. Time will tell. Bernie flew home to Vermont to recover from this loss and to re-calculate the path to the DNC Convention. Afterward, he maintained his campaign and marched on to last night - three states - Arizona, Florida, and Illinois. The outcome was the same - a substantial increase in turnout, aside from the corona virus outbreak and resulting social distancing, but a double-digit loss for the "Bernie Bros".....

So, here's the question. Why did this outcome take shape? Was the Black vote again a massive carry by Joe and turned the tide? Is the Black vote and other minority votes the "tool" of the "Establishment"? Is the Biden coalition reflecting the Obama coalition? Puppet Masters behind the curtain? Why are the Bernie vote totals DECREASING while the turnout is INCREASING?

Could be several reasons....Some pro-Bernie votes increased... but were eclipsed by the Joe votes that reflected the increased turnout in far greater numbers than Bernie. And, in some areas, the Bernie vote was fewer than 4 years ago. Is Joe Biden a far more attractive candidate in 2020 against Bernie than was Hillary in 2016? Is the surprise Trump election as President in 2016 a shock - both that he won the Republican Primary and, once nominated, another shock that ill-informed and ill-tempered Trump was indeed elected in November?

Which would be better?

And, now that we KNOW just how AWFUL this Psycho President has behaved in office - this "Accidental President" must be removed from office this fall..... We need to nominate a candidate that can display broad appeal to disaffected Republicans, Indies, and end the Trump "Reign of Terror." Is the voter conclusion that Bernie is a good guy with an attractive agenda and proposals? And can Bernie beat Trump? But, will we lose some House Members.... and not do as well in the Senate contests because his self-described persona is a less attractive option for Republicans and others who simply do not trust or like Trump? And, if elected, is it likely that the Bernie program will stall... and we will be stuck with McConnell still at the Senate switch? And, as recently promised, will Moscow Mitch simply gum up the Washington works and block every initiative put forward... just as he did to President Obama in his second term? How do we need to behave and what do we need to do?

The Trump Budget horror show recently proposed.

If the answer to that question is that we need to nominate the best chance that we have to make sure that we can defeat that horror-show - Donald J. Trump, with a candidate that can attract the most votes, make possible a win in the House and the Senate, and launch a set of modest or more substantial proposals that can take us forward - not backward - in the national agenda, who is it?. Can each step forward bring us closer and closer to the progressive agenda? And, if we risk a second 4-year set under Dictator Donald... is all lost? As the primary season rolls on, will the tale continue to be told? We will see......

One thing that I can point out is the Terrible Trump has failed in handling/hiding of the healthcare emergency that has taken charge of the headlines these past two weeks... And, potentially, this has shaped the voter response to yet another set of lies and fumbles that has nearly shut down the nation and crashed the Stock Market as just one symptom of the Trump "illness." A HEALTH EMERGENCY! 

During the last several weeks an invasion of the corona virus has spread - What was the Trump response????????

STEP 1: So, deny, deny, deny.... never-mind that a spreading virus is resulting in "issues".... ignore the rising "count" and prevent cruise ships from landing or immigrants from entering.... OH... and, then prevent other nationalities from visiting the US as tourists, not immigrants... including Canada, the UK and the entire European Union.... Impede the World Health Organization offer for supplying corona virus test kits... and make every attempt to prevent the rise in the numbers of those in the US that carry/spread the infection.... after all, King Trump might look too ineffective and bad... and, muzzle the "Deep State" CDC blabber-mouths... They should not "leak" out negative info about the "health of Americans."

STEP 2: Send BILLIONS to corporations (including my own and my family's) in offer of relief from the stress and strains resulting from those "bugs"... including the CDC! Oh...raise some campaign cash too.

STEP 3: Buy, buy, buy..... BUY VOTES! Send a check to everyone - rich and poor - across the nation.... Take credit and get a vote! Don't credit Congress, just the KING! After all, I have a VETO SWORD.... And, once Biden gets the Democratic Nomination, we can send some sick folks to his rallies.... and, at his age, once infected.... we can get back to BERNIE!!!

STEP 1:  LYIN' TRUMP COVER-UP ASSISTED BY PINHEAD PENCE

His Highness, Monster Trump!  RIGHT WING NUTS RAISE SWORDS! GENUFLECT! EXECUTE!

Primary Democratic voter turnout has increased state-by-state and date-by-date so far.... The Women's March in 2017 and the launch and the growth of "Indivisible" and similar working-groups across the nation that energized the election of Democrats to offices in 2018 and 2019 in cities, towns, and villages across the nation, put new "gas" in our tank. We spread the word and took back the majority in the House as well. Democrats, Independents, suburban voters, Black voters, Latino voters, immigrant-source families, and other working family votes have grown in focus, in interest, and in commitment to the goal - to save the nation, the constitution, and our sanity by defeating Trump this fall. Step.... by Step.....

Stand Up! Speak Out! Resist! Persist! March On! Tick-tock..... 2020....

Bobby J

"THE TIMES... THEY ARE A CHANGIN' " - Bob Dylan (1964). SUPER TUESDAY, 2020... ANOTHER FORK IN THE ROAD...

     So... here we are - right after "Super Tuesday" in the Democratic Primary cycle.... In thinking about the potential outcome last weekend, the song that popped into my head were.... "On the Eve of Destruction"... and the movie, "Apocalypse Now." I thought that "Super Tuesday" could result in a train wreck for the Democratic Party - the Party that is pledged to defeat the American Monarch, King Trump.

TRUMP... THE GURU OF THE UNTRUTH.... 

TRUMP TRADE WARS IGNITE FARM BANKRUPTCY

     After three years of dismantling our democracy, attacking and eroding the US Constitution, weakening, ignoring, and destroying the US position as "Leader of the Free World", abandoning our alliances, and launching trade wars around the globe that weakened our global position and increased farming bankruptcies to record levels, this accidentally-elected and ill-informed liar - Donald Trump - has led us away from global free-government leadership - practical and moral - that had been the American Democracy since World War II. An admirer of autocratic bossism, monarchy, and dictatorship, Trump has dismantled our national character built over decades in a bi-partisan fashion to expand both opportunity, inclusion, and freedom. 

 AMERICAN ALLIES ARE FORCED
TO ABANDON US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

   Yesterday turned out not to be the threatened "train-wreck." Instead, an evolution took place... and the Party that began the race for a candidate with 20+ activist figures bickering more and more as debate after debate intensified and moved us closer and closer to a cliff..... Yesterday - Super Tuesday - changed direction and pulled us back from the brink... the "eve of destruction."

Today, as we all sift through the outcome of the votes in many states across the nation - north, south, east, and west - the number of remaining active candidates seeking the Democratic Party's nomination as candidate for President has been reduced to Biden, Sanders, and Warren. Tulsi Gabbard - a single digit candidate throughout - so far remains in the race. Mayor Pete, Amy Klobuchar, and Mike Bloomberg all "suspended" their respective campaigns... and - along with Bedo O'Rourke of Texas - endorsed Joe Biden going forward. So, in closing, I selected this clip to reflect which fork in the road that was selected just last Tuesday.... It seems that the tide has changed... and ... "The Times They Are - A-Changin'."

A FIRST ANALYSIS.....     

     Take a close look at the "Super Tuesday" vote outcome.  In summary, of the 14 states that voted that day, Biden carried 10 of the 14 and Sanders just 4.  In fact, a comparison of the Sanders votes cast in the same states in 2016 as the alternative candidate running against Hillary, the outcome is curious....  Sanders received the same number of votes in Utah in both elections.  And, Sanders received MORE votes in Colorado, Minnesota, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia.  But, he LOST them all to Biden except Colorado. And, although Sanders won California, he LOST 1.2 MILLION CALIFORNIA VOTES THAT HE RECEIVED IN 2016!  Comparing Sanders in 2016 to 2020, he lost 1,308,000 votes received from the very same states in his first run for the Democratic nomination a 25% reduction in 4 years! The California turnout was much less than 2016 - 3.5 million votes cast versus 5.2 million in 2016. 

     Closer to the Sanders home in Vermont which he carried with comfort, next door in Maine and Massachusetts Biden carried them both!  A real question was raised and a finger pointed by Sanders...  that "Billionaires and the "establishment" were trying to "block" him and his agenda.  A close look at the election outcome on "Super Tuesday" suggests otherwise....

     Early on, the Democratic Party - with 20+ candidates - represented a broad "stew" spectrum - Liberal left to Centrist-Moderate.  As the field dwindled, the dividing line became more apparent.  Sanders and Warren proposed and rolled up the Liberal Left agenda.  Biden, Bloomberg, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Cory Booker and others split the Centrist-Moderate wing.  With far more Centrists in the race, the moderate vote was splintered into small chunks... and, it appeared that Sanders was far in the lead.... This week Sanders felt the "sting" of the Black vote in South Carolina that reflected a dominating concern to select an "electable" candidate rather than risk a Trump re-election against another McGovern candidacy.  Not the "establishment"; not "wealthy corporations"; and, not "billionaires."  Further, as two Centrist candidates withdrew - Buttigieg and Klobuchar following O'Rourke, Booker and others - the Centrist began to consolidate.  Bloomberg's campaign ended right after the "Super Tuesday" outcome, and joined the Centrist pack in support of Biden.  So, lets peek at a simple comparison - Liberal vs. Centrist Dems. 

     The Centrist percentages mustered a majority in 11 of the 14 states that voted on Tuesday.  One state - Utah - was a virtual percentage tie.  And, the Liberal wing carried 2 states - Vermont and Colorado.  The next rounds in March roll up 11 other states - Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, North Dakota, Missouri, Washington (3/10); Ohio, Illinois, Arizona, Florida (3/17); and Georgia (3/24). Given all of this, what is your guess as to the list of winners and losers that come next... and pave the way to the nomination?  Getting closer to YOUR choice....  

Stand Up! Speak Out! Persist! March On! Tick-tock....

Bobby J