Thursday, January 3, 2019

LOOKING INTO THE CRYSTAL BALL... 2019 PREDICTIONS AND FUTURE EVENTS FORETOLD.... DO YOU AGREE?


2019 PREDICTION OF EVENTS THAT WILL TAKE PLACE IN WASHINGTON DC.
                                                            JANUARY 2019

WHEW!  The past two years have been quite the roller-coaster ride in our nation’s capitol.  From the Women’s March on January 21, 2017 through today – with the swearing-in of a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives and our new Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, we have traveled quite the bumpy road to a safer landing.  Although the Trump Party (note – not the traditional “Republican Party”), still holds power in Trump’s White House and the US Senate under Mitch McConnell, 2019 will be quite the political scene along the way…. And will evolve into a new chapter in US history – far more bizarre than we have experienced in the past. 
The following contains my predictions for 2019. One year from now… as we enter the cycle for the election of 2020 and a national determination regarding our future course - both national and international, at home and abroad - 2019 will become an extraordinary and shocking evolution impacting our future.  Buckle up, hold on tight, and take a deep breath….  Here we go!  2019…..

2019

2019 will take on the role of evolving into shocking US history.  Those of us who have paid attention to the workings of Washington DC over the past two years have witnessed the devolution of our democracy.  In retreat from our leadership of the world order, we have also abandoned a carefully built social, economic, and political safety net.  From mangling  voting rights and dismantling healthcare coverage by imploding the ACA, Trump and his allies are inflicting wound after wound on the great role that the US has played both at home and abroad.  From withdrawing from the Climate Accord, the Iran Anti-Nuclear Agreement, the distant but gigantic Far East Trade Agreements (the Trans-Pacific Partnership), and, closer to home, the NAFTA Agreement between the US, Mexico, and Canada, to instituting trade war and tariffs that have closed American factories and wounded our farming communities - especially soy beans and others with extensive exported foreign sales that have suffered most, Trump and his gang have dis-assembled relationships that had been carefully build over decades. These forward steps were crafted and implemented by both Democrat and Republican Presidents and adopted by our US Senate as well, regardless of dominant party.  This INSANITY must stop.  This year - 2019 - not 2020 - will result in the sinking of the Trump presidency and the evaporation of his unskilled, inexperienced cabinet. Here are my 2019 predictions that will result in this outcome.

1. The US Government will re-open after a long and painful Trump Shut-down. The “heat” rises from this day forward as a result of the Dems taking charge of the House.  Watch for a blizzard of House Committee investigations and subpoenas issued by a long list of House Committees probing violations conducted and the laws broken or ignored by the Trump gang.  The infliction of these investigations - and negative headlines – will be negotiated a bit to re-open the government and provide the needed services to the public.

2. Robert Mueller, Special Counsel investigating Trump and his goons for nearly two years, will bring forward his findings and a report in early spring, 2019.  In spite of the rules that have him submit the report to Trump’s “acting” Attorney General who then hides the report in a closet, House Dems subpoena Mueller and the Report along with recommendations - likely at the House Judiciary Committee headed by Jerold Nadler (D-NY). The Report is then released or leaked to the press creating a tidal wave of controversy drowning the Trump gang in scandal.

3. Insofar as Trump has an overload of “acting” Cabinet members or Department leaders, and the Senate is still in Republican hands, the negative tidal impact on Trump will impede progress on getting approval for appointments, but for those directly recommended by Republican members of the Senate.  The necessary nominations will attract considerable negative response to such nominees early on and result that the Senate Hearings on these appointees will be awash in negative press. In fact, negative out-pouring will threaten the nominee’s reputation and may result in self-withdrawal to avoid being covered in Trump “mud.”  By the way, when the 25th Amendment was adopted in 1967, in addition to the Vice-President, a simple majority of the Cabinet can declare that the President is “unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office.” The Vice-President becomes President immediately upon delivery to the Senate.  Here is a good question….  Are “Acting” Cabinet Officers empowered to ‘act’ as “official” Secretaries of each Department?  Can they vote on Trump’s ability to govern?  Hmm….. Perhaps remaining as “Acting” Secretary of HUD or Attorney General would not permit their participation in a “finding” that the President is no longer able to “discharge his powers and duties.”

4. Given the growing presence of investigations, accusations, House-passed legislation attracting headlines in addition to their investigations, and the embarrassing confirmation proceedings on Cabinet nominations by an administration under attack for illegal and unethical behavior, the Trump Administration grinds to a near-halt.

5.  Sometime mid-year, if not before when the Mueller Report hits the press and the impeachment hearings commence, the Trump Gang is completely crippled.  The Republican Senate, while hinting that they will NOT “convict” Trump of Impeachable charges adopted in the House and sent to the Senate for “trial”, McConnell’s members realize that they will SINK in the 2020 elections if they do not create some responsible and defensible position or action.  After all, 2/3 of the US Senate up for election in 2020 are Republicans and see themselves on the edge of a political cliff! Assuming that Trump runs and maintains support by the Republican base (currently at 80%) to win the 2020 primary elections, McConnell realizes that somehow Trump needs to depart before election year, or else Republican Senators on the ballot will WALK THE PLANK! Under threat of the 25th Amendment removal possibility, or the potential to be saved from impeachment by the nervous Senate, Trump considers RESIGNATION.

6. The first six months of 2019 turns up the heat with House Committee investigations, the Mueller findings and report, and the impeachment process underway.  With both he and his family members exposed to improper behavior allegations, including criminal charges and convictions, “the Donald” seeks protection.  In return for a PARDON from his successor, Mike Pence - for him and his entire family and arrangements made with Democrats regarding state-level charges exposure, Trump steps down.  Pence becomes President, names a VP with voting support from the Senate Republicans, and settles in to head the Republican 2020 ticket.  Impeachment proceedings evaporate, House Committee investigations shrink down as a new Pence Cabinet is appointed replacing the Trump Gang, and Pence sets up for 2020 with changes in personnel and policy and with a “Save the Senate” election plan.  Pence recalls the Gerry Ford pardon and the fact that he was not able to secure a follow-up election as the incumbent Republican President. It goes without saying that Pence and McConnell are worried… Who will the Democrats run? Pence is on the phone.... hello, Vladimir???

Add some comments if you agree/disagree.  

Meanwhile... celebrate 2019... and March On!  

Bobby J





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